Why Iranian Protests Keep Failing (According to an Iranian)
Fri Jan 16 2026
Iran’s protests flare up, the internet fills with “this is it,” and then… silence.
In this episode of Bro History, we watch and react to a sharp (and frankly blackpilling) breakdown from Sharghzadeh — an Iranian diaspora creator — on why Iranian protest movements repeatedly fail, and why the same cycle keeps repeating.
Sharghzadeh’s core argument is uncomfortable but important: anger isn’t enough. Without leadership, a coherent endgame, and a realistic path to defections (plus a plan for what happens after), protests can burn out while the state escalates and survives.
Original video we react to (go subscribe):
Sharghzadeh channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/sharghzadeh/videos
00:00 – Setting the stage: protests “wound down,” not “resolved”07:35 – Video begins: “bad analysis” + wishcasting12:23 – Pronunciation debate (and what that actually signals)18:37 – “Revolutions take years” (why the timeline matters)31:39 – No ideology, no clear end state46:20 – Why “a leader” isn’t the same as “a symbol” (Reza Pahlavi section)59:05 – “Foreign help won’t rain from the sky”01:01:00 – States can limp on indefinitely (the depressing part)01:11:16 – Religion, motivation, and why regimes have “true believers”01:19:41 – The hardest point: what happens to regime remnants?01:30:10 – Our take + what a “non-collapse” transition can look like01:34:04 – The big open question: “Okay… now what?”01:40:02 – Shoutout to Sharghzadeh + wrap
#Iran #IranProtests #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #BroHistory #IranianDiaspora #IRGC #RegimeChange #Revolution #ForeignPolicy #PoliticalAnalysis #HistoryPodcast
TIMESTAMPS
Links to our other stuff on the interwebs:
https://www.youtube.com/@BroHistory
https://brohistory.substack.com/
#344
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Iran’s protests flare up, the internet fills with “this is it,” and then… silence. In this episode of Bro History, we watch and react to a sharp (and frankly blackpilling) breakdown from Sharghzadeh — an Iranian diaspora creator — on why Iranian protest movements repeatedly fail, and why the same cycle keeps repeating. Sharghzadeh’s core argument is uncomfortable but important: anger isn’t enough. Without leadership, a coherent endgame, and a realistic path to defections (plus a plan for what happens after), protests can burn out while the state escalates and survives. Original video we react to (go subscribe): Sharghzadeh channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/sharghzadeh/videos 00:00 – Setting the stage: protests “wound down,” not “resolved”07:35 – Video begins: “bad analysis” + wishcasting12:23 – Pronunciation debate (and what that actually signals)18:37 – “Revolutions take years” (why the timeline matters)31:39 – No ideology, no clear end state46:20 – Why “a leader” isn’t the same as “a symbol” (Reza Pahlavi section)59:05 – “Foreign help won’t rain from the sky”01:01:00 – States can limp on indefinitely (the depressing part)01:11:16 – Religion, motivation, and why regimes have “true believers”01:19:41 – The hardest point: what happens to regime remnants?01:30:10 – Our take + what a “non-collapse” transition can look like01:34:04 – The big open question: “Okay… now what?”01:40:02 – Shoutout to Sharghzadeh + wrap #Iran #IranProtests #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #BroHistory #IranianDiaspora #IRGC #RegimeChange #Revolution #ForeignPolicy #PoliticalAnalysis #HistoryPodcast TIMESTAMPS Links to our other stuff on the interwebs: https://www.youtube.com/@BroHistory https://brohistory.substack.com/ #344 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices