Episode 114: Fearless forecasts—does improbable mean impossible?
Thu Jan 15 2026
Some industry predictions may seem outlandish—or even impossible. But does that mean
they’re not worth considering? Kick off 2026 with Kevin and Macan, as they explore consensus-
defying predictions that may sound absurd, but warrant closer examination. Listen in as they
examine the logic behind some of industry's boldest predictions, challenging listeners to rethink
what’s truly possible.
From a potential 50% surge in gold prices to an S&P 500 Index that could endure a bear market
and still finish the year up 20%, our hosts break down the rationale, data, and market dynamics
behind each scenario—examining the roles of central bank rate cuts, liquidity, momentum and
investor behavior, all while underscoring the importance of diversification in an unpredictable
market environment.
Tune in for a lively start to 2026—and decide for yourself: are these forecasts improbable, or
impossible?
More
Some industry predictions may seem outlandish—or even impossible. But does that mean they’re not worth considering? Kick off 2026 with Kevin and Macan, as they explore consensus- defying predictions that may sound absurd, but warrant closer examination. Listen in as they examine the logic behind some of industry's boldest predictions, challenging listeners to rethink what’s truly possible. From a potential 50% surge in gold prices to an S&P 500 Index that could endure a bear market and still finish the year up 20%, our hosts break down the rationale, data, and market dynamics behind each scenario—examining the roles of central bank rate cuts, liquidity, momentum and investor behavior, all while underscoring the importance of diversification in an unpredictable market environment. Tune in for a lively start to 2026—and decide for yourself: are these forecasts improbable, or impossible?